Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.333911 0.359859 0.387648 0.419757 0.456006 0.495861 0.543272
2025-02-02 0.293564 0.333631 0.380191 0.439066 0.512670 0.603266 0.725888
2025-02-09 0.258503 0.305117 0.362616 0.440544 0.546405 0.690136 0.909799
2025-02-16 0.229259 0.278010 0.340814 0.430510 0.560631 0.752385 1.079174
2025-02-23 0.210535 0.261167 0.328852 0.430080 0.586010 0.834570 1.308218
2025-03-02 0.193550 0.244316 0.314159 0.422523 0.597898 0.896987 1.528423
2025-03-09 0.179250 0.229510 0.300317 0.413633 0.605042 0.951930 1.759639
2025-03-16 0.167552 0.217193 0.288594 0.406050 0.612340 1.008259 2.024995
2025-03-23 0.161686 0.212630 0.287715 0.415384 0.650642 1.136523 2.563615
2025-03-30 0.153089 0.203321 0.278615 0.409647 0.659592 1.204900 2.988918
2025-04-06 0.142664 0.190571 0.263098 0.391069 0.640333 1.202975 3.178301
2025-04-13 0.133367 0.179001 0.248653 0.372974 0.619421 1.192164 3.333529
2025-04-20 0.129269 0.175413 0.247197 0.378828 0.650970 1.330486 4.328836
2025-04-27 0.127696 0.175712 0.252253 0.397650 0.715742 1.594894 6.657499
2025-05-04 0.123197 0.171102 0.248724 0.399772 0.743615 1.768037 9.176761
2025-05-11 0.117359 0.163988 0.240361 0.391387 0.744591 1.854183 11.476187
2025-05-18 0.113313 0.159536 0.236271 0.391126 0.766086 2.030288 16.488587
2025-05-25 0.108659 0.153820 0.229529 0.384603 0.769955 2.142221 22.290399
2025-06-01 0.104197 0.148193 0.222569 0.376886 0.769173 2.236934 30.240766
2025-06-08 0.100228 0.143193 0.216422 0.370287 0.770357 2.344861 43.554952
2025-06-15 0.098551 0.141949 0.217013 0.378417 0.816129 2.716917 118.850965
2025-06-22 0.095270 0.137814 0.211976 0.373423 0.821413 2.879161 269.835187
2025-06-29 0.090769 0.131412 0.202371 0.357220 0.788862 2.794169 319.950332